Scary Movie 6 Box Office Predictions Reveal How It Could Compare to Scary Movie 5

The upcoming comedy-parody Scary Movie 6, more formally known as simply Scary Movie, has received a much improved box office prediction in just a week’s time. As the name of the film implies, it hopes to be a return to form for the franchise with the Wayans brothers, who left the series after 2001’s Scary Movie 2, now back at the helm. While the film is directed by A Haunted House’s Michael Tiddes, Marlon Wayans, Shawn Wayans, Keenen Ivory Wayans, and Craig Wayans are all credited as writers and producers for Scary Movie 6, with Marlon and Shawn reprising their characters in the franchise.

Prior box office projections for the Miramax and Paramount Pictures production were described as “volatile,” but it looks like they are trending in an upward direction. Scary Movie 6 is slated to drop on June 5, 2026, after being pushed one week back due to “overwhelming response” to its official trailer.

Scary Movie 6’s box office predictions are already higher under the Wayans brothers

Scary Movie 6 is predicted to earn $41 million, or somewhere between $35 million and $51 million, in its domestic opener from June 5 to June 7. This is significant improvement from its projected range last week of $25 million to $35 million, showing that audiences have more interest in the parody film than originally expected.

These new numbers come from a May 15 report by analytics site BoxOfficeTheory. It has the film pulling ahead of the domestic openers for Amazon MGM Studios’ Masters of the Universe ($32.5 million) and Fathom Entertainment’s The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act ($14.5 million) that come out during the same weekend as Scary Movie 6. Up until June 12, only two other movies are expected to have larger domestic openers: Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu’s $90 million and Disclosure Day with its range from $45 million to $59 million.

Although the report doesn’t say why Scary Movie 6 has received higher predictions, the site wrote earlier that it was “cautiously optimistic that the return of the Wayans family, stars Anna Faris and Regina Hall, and a trove of recent horror movies hits to lampoon could appeal to a crossover of Black communities 2000s-era nostalgic audiences, and Gen Zers.” Indeed, the rise of the horror genre over the last decade provides plenty of material for Scary Movie 6 to roast, including Get Out, Sinners, Nope, Scream 6, M3GAN, Weapons, and even the Michael biopic (with Kenan Thompson parodying Michael Jackson in the movie).

This improved projection is great news for the Scary Movie franchise, which hasn’t returned to the silver screen since Dimension Films’ Scary Movie 5 (officially titled Scary Movie V) in 2013. While this installment was technically a box office success, earning $78 million on a low $20 million budget, it fell well short of Scary Movie 4’s $178 million worldwide haul. It only earned $32 million domestically, so Scary Movie 6 has the opportunity to zoom past that just its opening weekend.

The Scary Movie franchise has never scored particularly well with critics, but its fifth entry earned a dismal 4% critics rating on Rotten Tomatoes. Audiences didn’t respond well to it either, giving it a 38% on the site based on over 100,000 ratings. So Scary Movie 6 also has the chance to bring the series back in the good graces of fans, who once made the original Scary Movie movie a surprise blockbuster with its $278 million box office total.

Marlon Wayans explained that there were three reasons behind his long-awaited return to the franchise: support from his father, “God,” and the “dismantling of the Weinstein regime.” The Wayans brothers left the series after disagreements occurred with Dimension Films founder Bob Weinstein, who is no longer at the company after The Weinstein Company was purchased at auction in 2018.