2027 Grammy Predictions Show Taylor Swift Might Lose

Early predictions for the 2027 Grammy Awards are in, and it looks like Taylor Swift may not have as much momentum as originally thought. Some Swifties were surprised that the 14-time Grammy winner wasn’t nominated for the 2026 Grammys, but that’s because her album “The Life of a Showgirl” was released in October 2025, several months after the late August eligibility window. That said, her twelfth studio album will very much be a contender for the upcoming 2027 Grammys, though some believe that there are other artists that could beat Swift for Record of the Year, Album of the Year, and Song of the Year. The 69th Grammy Awards is scheduled to air on February 7, 2027 at its new home on ABC, Hulu, and Disney+.

Early Grammy predictions favor Olivia Dean, Raye, and Bruno Mars

According to early poll results for 2027 Grammy nominations on GoldDerby, Taylor Swift will have stiff competition against the likes of Olivia Dean, Raye, Olivia Rodrigo, and Bruno Mars. While these are not odds on who will outright win the major awards at the ceremony, it shows that it’s very tight at the top.

The results below come from a combined poll, as of April 21, between editors and users on who they believe will be nominated for a 2027 Grammy (experts have yet to weigh in on their predictions). We have only included artists, song, and albums that received at least 5% of the vote, or the list would get very long. Note that the eligibility window for the 69th Grammy Awards runs from August 31, 2025 to August 30, 2026.

Album of the Year

1. Olivia Dean (The Art of Loving) – 96.53%
2. Olivia Rodrigo (You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love) – 89.91%
3. Raye (This Music May Contain Hope) – 87.38%
4. Bruno Mars (The Romantic) – 85.17%
5. Rosalia (Lux) – 84.23%
6. Taylor Swift (The Life of a Showgirl) – 83.91%
7. Harry Styles (Kiss All the Time, Disco, Occasionally) – 70.98%
8. Brandi Carlile (Returning to Myself) – 45.11%
9. Kacey Musgraves (Middle of Nowhere) – 29.34%
10. Kehlani (Kehlani) – 9.78%
11. Lily Allen (West End Girl) – 8.52%
12. Lana Del Ray (Stove) – 7.89%
13. Noah Kahan (The Great Divide) – 7.57%
14. Geese (Getting Killed) – 7.26%
15. Ella Langley (Dandelion) – 6.94%

Record of the Year

1. Olivia Dean (Man I Need) – 96.76%
2. Raye (Where Is My Husband) – 96.12%
3. Taylor Swift (The Fate of Ophelia) – 93.20%
4. Bruno Mars (I Just Might) – 88.35%
5. PinkPantheress and Zara Larsson (Stateside) – 75.73%
6. Harry Styles (Aperture) – 63.43%
7. Rosalia, Bjork, Yves Tumor (Berghain) – 61.49%
8. Ella Langley (Choosin’ Texas) – 55.66%
9. Olivia Rodrigo (Drop Dead) – 40.45%
10. Tame Impala (Dracula) – 22.33%
11. Sabrina Carpenter (Tears) – 19.42%
12. Brandi Carlile (Church and State) – 5.50%
13. Bruce Springsteen (Streets of Minneapolis) – 5.18%
14. Noah Kahan (The Great Divide) – 5.18%

Song of the Year

1. Raye (Where Is My Husband) – 95.30%
2. Olivia Dean (Man I Need) – 93.96%
3. Taylor Swift (The Fate of Ophelia) – 91.28%
4. Bruno Mars (I Just Might) – 83.56%
5. Ella Langley (Choosin’ Texas) – 76.85%
6. Harry Styles (Aperture) – 56.38%
7. PinkPantheress and Zara Larsson (Stateside) – 46.98%
8. Kacey Musgraves (Dry Spell) – 43.62%
9. Olivia Rodrigo (Drop Dead) – 38.26%
10. Bruce Springsteen (Streets of Minneapolis) – 32.55%
11. Rosalia, Bjork, Yves Tumor (Berghain) – 28.19%
12. Sienna Spiro (Die on This Hill) – 12.42%
13. Brandi Carlile (Church and State) – 10.40%
14. Noah Kahan (The Great Divide) – 8.72%
15. Bruno Bars (Risk It All) – 6.71%

In better news for Taylor Swift, she is leading in several bets on Kalshi for the 2027 Grammy nominations. “The Fate of Ophelia” has a commanding 97% chance to be nominated for Song of the Year and a 97% chance to be nominated for Record of the Year. However, betters believe that Bruno Mars’ “The Romantics” has a higher 94% chance to be nominated for Album of the Year over Taylor Swift’s “The Life of Showgirl” at 86%.